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Journal of Reviews on Global Economics

Can the World Monetary System be Saved from Collapse by Monetary Gold Pages 464-470

 

S. Varlamova and M. Medvedeva

DOI: https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-7092.2018.07.42

Published: 12 November 2018  


Abstract: The world community is gripped by the expectation of significant changes in the international monetary system, which has been permanently in crisis for decades. The uncertainty of the future gives rise to a sense of impending catastrophe, which must be prepared now, finding reliable anchors for preserving capital and providing an equivalent exchange in commodity markets. Historically, during a period of aggravation of the crisis of the international monetary system, monetary gold invariably remains as a reliable anchor, which is due not only to its unique properties, but also to the mentality of economic entities of all levels. The article deals with the basis of the emergence and periodic aggravation of the crises of the international monetary system, the causes of the new exacerbation, and the changing role of monetary gold in the process of globalization of the world economy. The role of international reserves in the gold reserve in the maintenance of socio-political stability is shown, the reasons determining the need to preserve and increase the gold reserves of central banks are substantiated.

Keywords: International monetary system, monetary gold, international reserves, gold reserves.

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Journal of Reviews on Global Economics

The Main Directions of the Bank of Russia’s Activity in the System of Integrated Financial Regulation Pages 471-477

 

I.E. Shaker and N.S. Shaker

DOI: https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-7092.2018.07.43

Published: 12 November 2018  


Abstract: Actuality: The transition to integrated financial regulation brought the issue on the central banks’ role in the new configuration of financial supervision; on the necessity of resistance to financial crises and systemic risks; on overcoming of sectoral fragmentation in the area of regulation and supervisory activities’ standardization based on best supervisory practices.

Novelty: The regulatory and supervisory function has evolved into a critical factor in management of the financial system stability. Rethinking of the essence of the financial integral regulation has allowed distinguishing three separate directions: ensuring of financial stability, macroprudential oversight and regulation of moral hazard risk in the banking sector, financial institutions’ business behavior and limitation of the intention to establish the regulatory arbitrage.

Practical Value: In countries, that have adopted the integral regulation of the financial market, in relation to all its sectors, the authors propose to develop and apply standards of the moral hazard risk regulation in the banking sphere and the business behavior of financial institutions; universal standards and technologies of regulation and supervision in order to limit the establishment of regulatory arbitrage; leveling of systemic risks of financially-credit sphere.

Keywords: Megaregulator, banking system, financial system, non-credit financial organizations, microfinancial organizations, the role of the Bank of Russia.

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Journal of Reviews on Global Economics

А Quantitative Assessment of the Impact of Credit on Economic Growth in Russia Pages 478-486

 

Byvshev Victor and Brovkina Natalya

DOI: https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-7092.2018.07.44

Published: 12 November 2018  


Abstract: The Russian credit market reflects the significant range of problems faced by the national economy. Among them are structural and regional imbalances; restrictions that prevent the free movement of funds in the interbank market; uncertainty that leads to a slowdown in the rates of attraction and placement of credit resources. As a result, the question arises as to how effective the credit market in Russia is and whether it has a stimulating effect on the national economy. The purpose of this article is to assess the impact of credit on economic growth as one of the criteria for the effectiveness of the credit market in the national economy. Growth rates of real quarterly GDP levels cleared of seasonality as well as quarterly growth rates of real household consumption in Russia cleared of seasonality are viewed as indicators of economic growth. Indicators of the credit market include quarterly growth rates of real loans to households and quarterly growth rates of real loans to non-financial organizations. In addition, such events as the global economic crisis of 2008 – 2009 and its impact, Western sanctions and the increase of crude oil prices were taken into account. As a result of the study conducted by the authors using an open econometric model of vector autoregression, the conclusion was drawn that loans to households and non-financial organizations in the long term have a stimulating effect on the Russian economy.

Keywords: Credit market, loans to households, loans to non-financial organizations, gross domestic product (GDP), vector autoregression model.

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Journal of Reviews on Global Economics

Unbalanced Liquidity Management Evaluation of the Russian Banking Sector Pages 487-496

 

Nina Morozko, Natalia Morozko and Valentina Didenko

DOI: https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-7092.2018.07.45

Published: 12 November 2018  


Abstract: The monetary policy content both in the world and in Russia is changing. The past five years confirm that banking systems are experiencing unprecedented influence of both external and internal macroeconomic factors.

Autonomous factors in the banking sector liquidity formation are factors that are not related to the Central Bank operations for its management. However, at present, there are no studies related to the study of the autonomous factors influence on the banking sector liquidity.

This article presents a model that fills this gap. We use this model to answer a number of theoretical questions: how is the influence of autonomous factors on the banking sector liquidity carried out and in what stages of development are their manifestations stronger?

The calculated model is able to test hypotheses that are informally discussed in political and academic circles. Based on the objectivity of the model, one can estimate the reliability of each of the hypotheses put forward in this study.

For calculating the model, time series were used for each day for the period 2013-2016, taken at the site of the Central Bank of Russia.

On the basis of the panel regressions device it is shown that among the autonomous factors of liquidity formation the largest impact on the Russian banking sector liquidity is made by the change in balances on the accounts of the enlarged government with the Bank of Russia.

The conducted research will allow the Central Bank to forecast the banking sector demand in liquid funds, taking into account the autonomous factors influence.

Keywords: Liquidity, factors, liquidity surplus.

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